Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 6:24 PM UTCJun 30, 29, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 8 USD billion?
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KalshiBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if global silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductor annual revenue for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 6 USD billion, per Yole Group or aggregated from major producer annual reports.
- YES if: Global SiC power semiconductor revenue >= 6 USD billion for 2028 NO if: Global SiC power semiconductor revenue < 6 USD billion for 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Yole Group SiC Power Semiconductor Market Monitor (yolegroup.com)
- STMicroelectronics annual report — SiC revenue
- Wolfspeed annual report (10-K) — SiC revenue
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC 15 min · $77,435.05 target
- Yes59%
- No41%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,500 or above+5.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+6.0pt99%
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $764.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+36.0pt87.1%
- 200-219-19.0pt11.9%
- 220-239-5.8pt1%
+23 more outcomes
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes57.7%
- No42.3%
- Total Vol
- $491.9K
- 24h Vol
- $449.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+51.0pt95.2%
- 79° to 80°-14.0pt1%
- 75° to 76°-36.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 3am EDT?
- $76,800 or above99%
- $76,300 or above99%
- $76,900 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $357.1K
- 24h Vol
- $348.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 6 USD billion??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 6 USD billion? resolve?
- Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 6 USD billion? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2029.
- How is Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 6 USD billion? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if global silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductor annual revenue for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 6 USD billion, per Yole Group or aggregated from major producer annual reports.