Will global primary rhenium production exceed 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
CommoditiesOne-Off1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 52.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 7, 26, 11:33 PM UTCMar 31, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if global primary rhenium production exceeds 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027.
- What is being measured: USGS estimate of world primary rhenium production for the calendar year ending December 2027 (reported in the USGS MCS published ~February, settled March 31).
- YES if: USGS global primary Re production >= 95 thousand kg for the year NO if: USGS global primary Re production < 95 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-information-center)
- USGS Minerals Yearbook — rhenium chapter
- CRU Group or Wood Mackenzie rhenium production data
