What are the current odds for Will Gaston and Pookie make it to James Wedding??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64.5% as of November 1, 2026.

Will Gaston and Pookie make it to James Wedding?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 64.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 39 minutes ago

Sep 25, 26, 6:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:01 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Gaston and Pookie's relationshiup (already on the rocks) last until james wedding date of August 26, 2027

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if Gaston and Pookie are still in a relationship on August 26, 2027 (the scheduled date of James's wedding).
This market resolves to NO if they break up prior to August 26, 2027.
If the wedding is postponed, canceled, or the date changes, the resolution target remains August 26, 2027, unless the creator explicitly updates the market criteria.
Resolution will be determined by the market creator's first-hand knowledge, announcement, or confirmation from the parties involved.