Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore January 2027 3.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 25, 25, 5:26 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Elon Musk's behavior is looking more and more erratic.
- He has admitted to recreational drug use and daily prescribed ketamine.
- Could rehab be in his future?
- This market will resolve to confirmed reports he's been to in-patient rehabilitation.
- (Eg, if he attends rehab in 2025, but it is not disclosed until February 2026 or he announces in 2025 that he will attend in February 2026, only the option "the named outcome" will resolve Yes)