Will Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 97.6% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026? resolve?

Will Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Donald Trump makes a public statement that can reasonably be interpreted as a threat or intent to annex, invade, seize, acquire, or take control of the Poobahverse or Bafflington before 31 December 2026, 23:59 UTC.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 77,500+1.0pt24%
• ↑ 82,500-34.0pt22%
• ↓ 75,000-2.5pt4%

+39 more outcomes

Total Vol

$14M

24h Vol

$1M

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,250 or above99%
• $77,000 or above98.5%
• $76,500 or above98.5%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin above ___ on October 29?

• 72,000+0.1pt100%
• 74,000+0.1pt100%
• 76,000+0.2pt99%

+8 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $73,500 or above+2.0pt95%
• $71,000 or above95%
• $71,500 or above95%

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↑ 2,400-35.5pt29%
• ↓ 2,200-2.0pt18%
• ↓ 2,100-2.5pt4%

+44 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $50M+0.8pt100%
• $100M+0.1pt99%
• $200M+0.3pt99%

+10 more outcomes

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• Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
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• What price will Ethereum hit October 26-November 1?
• Ethereum above ___ on October 29?
• Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by which date?
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