Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 79.9%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleFeb 15, 26, 1:51 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve yes if Connor Storrie of the breakout show Heated Rivalry, makes any kind of online post mentioning being gay, bi, or queer by December 31, 2026.
- This market will also resolve yes if Connor posts a photo with another man that clearly alludes to being in some sort of sexual or romantic relationship.