Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery, cathode and graphite anode materials, equipment and technologies (MOFCOM-GACC Announcement No. 58 and companion measures) are legally in effect.

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