Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 11:32 PM UTCMar 31, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if China rhenium imports exceeds 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029.
- What is being measured: China's total rhenium imports (all forms, Re content equivalent) for the calendar year ending December 2029, as reported by GACC or USGS.
- YES if: China total Re imports >= 30 thousand kg for the year NO if: China total Re imports < 30 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (China General Administration of Customs) — HS 2841.90 + HS 8112.41 import data
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (world trade tables)
- Wood Mackenzie or CRU Group — China rhenium demand and trade estimates
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? resolve?
- Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2030.
- How is Will China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if China rhenium imports exceeds 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029.