Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo. 91.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 25, 4:17 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Magic the Gathering unban any of the 7 'racist' cards before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of 2026 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be an Instant spell card?
Manifold MarketsWill wizards of the coast make/produce a magic: the gathering movie/Tv show by 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
Will resolve to NO when badgermole cub rotates out of standard.
- If by chance badgermole cub is reprinted into standard this will not resolve NO until badgermole cub rotates out.
- Will resolve N/A if wotc discontinued the standard format.
- I may participate in market as the criteria is sufficiently objective and I'm not an employee of wizards.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will badgermole cub be banned in the standard format of magic the gathering?
- Manifold Markets prices No. at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will badgermole cub be banned in the standard format of magic the gathering resolve?
- Will badgermole cub be banned in the standard format of magic the gathering is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will badgermole cub be banned in the standard format of magic the gathering settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve to NO when badgermole cub rotates out of standard.