What are the current odds for Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

One-OffEntertainment2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 53.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Jun 18, 24, 5:48 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 6:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.

Will the author, Steven Brust, successfully complete both works, with them published in any form, before January 1st, 2029?

Report a data issue with this market

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

One-OffEntertainment2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 53.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Jun 18, 24, 5:48 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 6:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will there be a complete, professional looking comic book adaptation of HPMOR, before 2029?

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Will Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?

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Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?

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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

Polymarket

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

Rules

Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.

Will the author, Steven Brust, successfully complete both works, with them published in any form, before January 1st, 2029?

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028??: Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? resolve?: Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
How is Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

Frequently asked questions

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