Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:53 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 75 t?
Manifold MarketsWill ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 200 t?
Manifold MarketsWill ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceeds 20 t.
- What is being measured: ASM Korean Metals Plant (KMP) Zr metal production for the quarter ending December 2026, as reported in the ASM quarterly activities report (ASX:ASM).
- YES if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter >= 20 t NO if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter < 20 t
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- ASM (Australian Strategic Materials) quarterly activities report (asx.com.au, ASX:ASM) Published ~4 weeks after each quarter end
- ASM investor presentations (australianstrategicmaterials.com.au/investors)
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 20 t??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 20 t? resolve?
- Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 20 t? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 20 t? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceeds 20 t.