Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t?
One-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:52 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceeds 20 t.
- What is being measured: ASM Korean Metals Plant (KMP) Zr metal production for the quarter ending September 2026, as reported in the ASM quarterly activities report (ASX:ASM).
- YES if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter >= 20 t NO if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter < 20 t
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- ASM (Australian Strategic Materials) quarterly activities report (asx.com.au, ASX:ASM) Published ~4 weeks after each quarter end
- ASM investor presentations (australianstrategicmaterials.com.au/investors)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t? resolve?
- Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 20 t? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceeds 20 t.