Will any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?
BitcoinEthereumOne-OffCryptoStablecoin4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingMar 7, 25, 12:23 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Rules
Central banks traditionally hold reserves in assets like gold, foreign currencies, and government securities to maintain financial stability and support monetary policy.
- As of now, no major central bank officially holds cryptocurrencies as part of their reserves.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2030, at least one central bank officially announces and confirms that they have purchased and are holding any decentralized cryptocurrency (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.) but not CBDC as part of their official reserves.
- For resolution purposes:
- The entity must be a recognized central bank of a sovereign nation
