Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.6%
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9
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binary
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Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 26, 25, 6:58 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Resolves YES if SM64 is known to be beatable with 120 stars in less than 13 A presses on any official release.
- More information here: https://ukikipedia.net/wiki/A_Button_Challenge
- Most people familiar with the game believe the A press in Bowser in the Fire Sea is theoretically savable, but it's a very complicated level that has seen slow progress for 7 years now.
- Even though a slow strategy seems likely to work, people are waiting to tas the full level until they find a faster strategy, which would be likely to be very complicated.
- There are also 12 other a presses with varying degrees of promise, but none currently have any serious plans for a save.
- Generally, I will count an A press as being "saved" when it is completely console verified (usually these are live streamed on twitch).