Will a self-driving ride hailing service be available to the general public in Greater Toronto by the end of 2035?
EntertainmentOne-OffTechBusiness & Corporate9yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 25, 6:14 PM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to Yes if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, a self-driving ride-hailing service is commercially available to the general public in a service area covering at least 2,137 square kilometers (30% of the GTA's total land area).
- To meet the criteria, the service must:
- Be autonomous: Vehicles must operate without a human safety driver present in the vehicle.
- Be a ride-hailing service: Any member of the general public must be able to request a ride on-demand through a publicly available application.
- Cover the required area: The service's operational zone, as defined by the service provider, must meet the specified land area requirement.
- The zone does not need to be a single contiguous area.
