Current community forecast
Yes 60.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If a large language models beats a super grandmaster (Classic elo of above 2,700) while playing blind chess by 2028, this market resolves to YES.
- I will ignore fun games, at my discretion.
- (Say a game where Hiraku loses to ChatGPT because he played the Bongcloud)
- Some clarification (28th Mar 2023): This market grew fast with a unclear description.
- My idea is to check whether a general intelligence can play chess, without being created specifically for doing so (like humans aren't chess playing machines).
- Some previous comments I did.
