Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 93.7%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 24, 2:58 PM UTCMar 1, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWill 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if at least 20 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2028.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-5e781221ca5f
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-e510db70b0a2
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-26fcd74c767f
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-280c533c681a (this question)
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? resolve?
- Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2028.
- How is Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if at least 20 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2028.