Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Jesse (97%)
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 4:20 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastJesse 97%+3.0ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 5:09 PMAug 1, 26, 4:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Jack0.8%
prismatic0.1%
Zanda Zhu0.4%
Chad0.2%
Jesse97%
chris (strutheo)0.7%
Mochi1.5%
Fynn0.7%
Tim0.7%
Tripping0.7%
Simon0.7%
Sad0.2%
Pat Scott0.7%
Shane Bo0.7%
MachiNi0.7%
Christopher Randles0.7%
Bayesian0.1%
Zeolite0.7%
Dssc0.7%
Avi Eisenberg0.2%
Anonymous0.2%
Travis0.1%
Jim0.2%
Ten Shino0.7%
2560.7%
Kraalnaxx0.7%
Von Gadke0.2%
T W0.2%
Semiotic Rivalry1.8%
Fold Habits Die Hard0.2%
97%
0.8%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Rules
(idk why brod didn't post this season's market ://)
- Resolves to the winner of Masters league season 39
- https://manifold.markets/leagues/39/masters/prescient-clairvoyants
- I reserve the right to N/A the market in the first hour of market creation to prevent liquidity leaking as I set odds.
Open markets
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+10.5pt44.5%
- 40-64+2.0pt30.7%
- 90-114+1.1pt18.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $290.2K
- 24h Vol
- $188.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
- 200-21913.6%
- 180-19912.6%
- 220-23912.6%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $299.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+15.0pt43.3%
- 40-64-3.5pt28.9%
- 90-114+2.5pt18.3%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIMrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- No99%
- Yes-7.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
POLYMARKETTed Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 140-159+9.0pt69.2%
- 160-179+20.0pt28.2%
- 180-199+1.9pt2.6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 20-39+3.3pt99%
- 40-59-3.4pt1%
- <20-0.4pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
- Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- Major news story in Aug 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win Masters Season 39??
- Manifold Markets prices Jesse at 97% as of August 2, 2026.
- When does Who will win Masters Season 39? resolve?
- Who will win Masters Season 39? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.
- How is Who will win Masters Season 39? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (idk why brod didn't post this season's market ://)