Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Josh D’Amaro (99%)
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, 5:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastJosh D’Amaro 99%+4.5ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleFeb 8, 24, 3:19 AMJul 24, 26, 5:56 PM
Probability Timeline
Dana Walden0.1%
Josh D’Amaro99%
Jimmy Pitaro0.1%
Tom Staggs0%
Kevin Mayerr0%
Ynon Kreiz0%
Tim Cook0%
Nelson Peltz0.1%
Andrew Wilson0.1%
Other0.5%
99%
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
Today, Bob Iger announced that picking his successor (the next CEO) is the board's "number one priority".
- Bob Iger's struggle to find a successor has long been considered a black mark on his legacy.
- He finally selected Bob Chapek, only to oust Chapek & reclaim the role within 3 years.
- This market will resolve to the name of the person who is the next CEO of the Walt Disney Company (according to Wikipedia) after Bob Iger.
- More sources:
- Why Disney’s Succession Remains The Biggest Question For The Magic Kingdom.
