KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Above $2.699 99%+23.0ptLeader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29.8K
Liquidity
$35.5K
High liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 9:00 PMAug 21, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
96%
7%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 0.999 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 5 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.
- For example, while the pyth feed may describe BRENTM6 by its April 30th, 2026 expiration date, the settlement contract is listed as June 2026 to align with the official exchange-designated delivery month for the "M" code.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
- ↓ $80+27.4pt100%
- ↓ $85+9.3pt100%
- ↓ $75+27.9pt100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.5M
- 24h Vol
- $389.6K
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $86.99+3.0pt99%
- Above $82.99+1.0pt99%
- Above $80.99+1.0pt99%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIGold price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $4555.99+66.0pt99%
- Above $4495.99+33.0pt99%
- Above $3955.9999%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $169.6K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.08099%
- Above 3.80099%
- Above 3.82099%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $280.1K
- 24h Vol
- $102.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $4,600+48.4pt100%
- ↑ $4,500+64.0pt100%
- ↑ $4,400+15.4pt100%
+11 more outcomes
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
- EV commodity prices on Aug 21, 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 24, 2026?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Silver price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on August 21?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??
- Kalshi prices Above $2.699 at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? resolve?
- Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 0.999 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.