Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastJean Gray 79%-14.6ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 2:28 AMJul 31, 26, 5:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jean Gray79%
Volume trend
$153Jul 253d of dataJul 27
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolution Criteria
- Sadie Sink has been cast in a lead villain role in Spider-Man: Brand New Day, but Marvel and Sony are keeping the specific identity of Sink's character locked tightly.
- This market resolves based on official confirmation from Marvel Studios, Sony Pictures, or the filmmakers regarding which character Sink portrays.
- Resolution sources include:
- Official Marvel/Sony press releases or announcements
- Director Destin Daniel Cretton or producer statements