Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Denis Villeneuve (99%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 11:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Gina Prince-Blythewood0%
Steve McQueen0%
Christopher Nolan0%
Edward Berger0%
Matthew Vaughn0%
Greta Gerwig0%
Denis Villeneuve99%
Emerald Fennell0%
Martin Campbell0%
Danny Boyle0%
Cary Fukunaga0%
Steven Spielberg0%
Chad Stahelski0%
Christopher McQuarrie0%
Chloé Zhao0%
Joseph Kosinski0%
Matt Reeves0%
Quentin Tarantino0%
Paul Greengrass0%
J.J. Abrams0%
Kathryn Bigelow0%
Park Chan-wook0%
Jordan Peele0%
Yann Demange0%
Alex Garland0%
Guillermo del Toro0%
Olivia Wilde0%
Robert Eggers0%
Lynne Ramsay0%
Guy Ritchie0%
Alfonso Cuarón0%
Other0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
