Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastStephen 85.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 23, 6:05 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketRules
It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold.
- Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit.
- Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last.
- This market resolves to that person.
- (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)
- Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company.
