Who will be the first Manifold user to wear the crown?

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 1, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $76,250 or above99.5%
• $76,000 or above99%
• $76,500 or above98.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$952.5K

24h Vol

$949.5K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 400-419+2.5pt17.1%
• 420-439+7.0pt17.1%
• 380-399-1.8pt15.2%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?

• 90-114+12.5pt45%
• 115-139+6.5pt24%
• 65-89-7.5pt20%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-0.5pt53.5%
• Anthropic+2.1pt46.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 1, 2026 at 5am EST?

• $77,600 or above99.5%
• $77,500 or above99.5%
• $77,400 or above99.5%

KALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

• College Station+46.0pt99.5%
• Milwaukee+18.0pt99.5%
• Houston+30.0pt