Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRobert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man) 95.1%Leader of 85 outcomes
Forecasters
72
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 24, 10:17 AM UTCMay 7, 27, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ryan Reynolds appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
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PolymarketWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
PolymarketRules
Includes voice-only and motion-capture-only roles, excludes archive footage.
- Appearance in a trailer suffices for YES.
- Appearance doesn't need to be as the character listed; character names are provided only for traders' convenience.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $73.9K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+32.0pt45.3%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams8.6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.8K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+7.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+32.0pt97%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.2K
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-2.0pt90%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+11.5pt71%
- 940 - 950m-8.5pt26%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+21.0pt78%
- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond actor?
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"??
- Manifold Markets prices Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man) at 95% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"? resolve?
- Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"? is scheduled to resolve on May 7, 2027.
- How is Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Includes voice-only and motion-capture-only roles, excludes archive footage.