Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAonishiki 90.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 26, 12:27 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves to the option which becomes yokozuna first, or if both retire before becoming yokozuna resolves 'neither'.
- I will extend the close date as needed, it will not necessarily end on the current close date.
- related market:
Open markets
Sports
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- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
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- 24h Vol
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- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
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- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
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- Cadence Brace52%
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
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- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who Reaches Yokozuna First? Aonishiki, Kotozakura, or neither??
- Manifold Markets prices Aonishiki at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who Reaches Yokozuna First? Aonishiki, Kotozakura, or neither? resolve?
- Who Reaches Yokozuna First? Aonishiki, Kotozakura, or neither? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Who Reaches Yokozuna First? Aonishiki, Kotozakura, or neither? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the option which becomes yokozuna first, or if both retire before becoming yokozuna resolves 'neither'.