Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 27, 25, 1:55 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a zensho-yusho (15-0) in Makuuchi in 2026? [sumo basho]
Manifold MarketsWho Reaches Yokozuna First? Aonishiki, Kotozakura, or neither?
Manifold MarketsWho will be a Yokozuna at some point?
Manifold MarketsRyan Garcia vs Conor Benn
Kalshi331: Van vs Pantoja
KalshiFight Night: Fiorot vs Grasso
KalshiRules
Refers to whether another rikishi (after Onosato) will be promoted to Yokozuna before the end of 2026.
- If someone is promoted based on November tournament results, but the announcement is (surprisingly) delayed till after 2026 that will still resolve YES
- Edit--given the objectivity of outcome and the fact that im not connected to the jsa I'll be participating in this market.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Another yokozuna in sumo by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Another yokozuna in sumo by end of 2026? resolve?
- Another yokozuna in sumo by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Another yokozuna in sumo by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Refers to whether another rikishi (after Onosato) will be promoted to Yokozuna before the end of 2026.