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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Who is Satoshi Nakamoto
Manifold Markets

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

BitcoinOne-OffCrypto4y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Hal Finney 16.7%
Leader of 22 outcomes
Forecasters

88

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
Jul 8, 22, 10:15 PMJul 7, 30, 6:59 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Hal Finney17%

Rules

Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "someone who is currently dead" option will be resolved to N/A, as it conflicts with other answer options (e.g., Hal Finney, Len Sassaman) in this dependent-choice market.

Manifold Markets

Related Cryptos

BitcoinBTC$62,765.06+1.78%

Related Markets

Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?

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$845.6K
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Bitcoin above ___ on June 12?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 12?

$291.6K
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What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

$244.8K
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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

$108K
↓ 85,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

$106.3K
Up: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

ChainlinkLINK$7.79-0.00%EthereumETH$1,657.42+1.20%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.88%XRPXRP$1.12-0.09%BNBBNB$596.64+1.34%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.05%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsThe 0.01% Funding Rate: How Bitcoin Perpetuals Are Engineered for Rent ExtractionBlockchain ReporterMichael Saylor rejects dilution fears after $181M MSTR saleCrypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain Reporter

Rules

Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "someone who is currently dead" option will be resolved to N/A, as it conflicts with other answer options (e.g., Hal Finney, Len Sassaman) in this dependent-choice market.

Manifold Markets