Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 26, 11:17 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works