Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: ASUS Zenbook A16 (UX3607) (24.3%)
Resolved: Oct 18, 2026, 11:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 10:18 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Dell 16 Plus Laptop1%
Framework Laptop 161%
Other14.6%
HP EliteBook X G1i 14"1.2%
Asus ROG Flow x131.7%
Framework Laptop 13 Pro3%
Dell XPS 13, 14, & 167.8%
Macbook Pro4.6%
Lenovo ThinkPad T14s (Gen 6 or Gen 7)6.6%
Thinkpad x9 14, 157.8%
Lenovo Thinkpad X1 Carbon8.4%
ASUS Zenbook 1418.8%
ASUS Zenbook A16 (UX3607)24.3%
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PolymarketRules
I plan on buying a new laptop.
- I'm looking for something relatively light (<3.5 lbs but heavier is fine if it meets other criteria), preferably >=32gb ram, and >=512gb disk.
- A smaller screen would be good, maybe 14" but I'm flexible on that.
- I don't need a really big gpu bc I'd mainly use the laptop as a terminal and use modal or something else online/remote for compute.
- I don't need really good gaming capability, though it's a plus.
- I always have like 200 tabs and 20 windows open, so I would like a laptop that can handle that.