Which continent will primarily host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
SportsOne-OffSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCONCACAF / North America 35.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
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9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 8:56 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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Due to Europe, Africa and South America jointly hosting the 2030 World Cup, in 2038, under the current rotation model (established in the chaotic early days of the World Cup, where a lack of alternation led to boycotts in protest of the unfairness of one continent's footballers having more travel costs and overhead than the other), they will be ineligible to bid for the World Cup, forcing it to be in North America or Oceania.
- However, Oceania lacks large stadiums, and almost all of the large stadiums in North America are in the United States, Canada and Mexico, which already hosted the World Cup in 2026! So FIFA is forced to choose between an unusually tight turnaround for a federation, or an unusually tight turnaround for a country.
- [image]Resolves at the continental federation that hosts the most games of the 2038 FIFA World Cup.
- If two continental federations host the same number of games, resolves at the host of the final.
