KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
USA · —
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Stored price
USA 37%Leader of 14 outcomes
USA 37%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25
Open interest
$5.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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USASpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 8:02 PM UTCJan 1, 34, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · USA
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which continent will primarily host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If USA is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SemaforABCBloombergNBCThe Washington PostAssociated PressThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersThe InformationPoliticoAxiosMSNBCCNNthe New York TimesCBS
- Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.
Rules for each outcome
- USA
- If USA is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Australia or New Zealand
- If Australia or New Zealand are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- China
- If China is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay
- If Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- France, Belgium or the Netherlands
- If France, Belgium or the Netherlands are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Italy
- If Italy is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Kingdom or Ireland
- If United Kingdom or Ireland are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Switzerland or Austria
- If Switzerland or Austria are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greece or Turkey
- If Greece or Turkey are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brazil, Colombia or Peru
- If Brazil, Colombia or Peru are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cambodia
- If Cambodia is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Egypt
- If Egypt is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Panama or Costa Rica
- If Panama or Costa Rica are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Germany
- If Germany is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.
