Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 7:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 9.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 24, 26, 7:47 PMDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Volume trend
$750Jul 192d of dataJul 20
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