Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026?
Tokenization / RWAOne-OffAITech1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDeepSeek 24.7%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 24, 26, 4:50 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the company that authored the single most-used model on OpenRouter during December 2026, measured by token volume and computed from OpenRouter's official rankings dataset.
- Determination.
- Using OpenRouter's daily rankings dataset (GET /api/v1/datasets/rankings-daily), the determining query is start_date=2026-12-01 and end_date=2026-12-31 (UTC, inclusive).
- For each model (model_permaslug), total_tokens (= prompt_tokens + completion_tokens) is summed across all returned days in that window.
- The model with the highest December total is the "#1 model," and the market resolves to that model's author company.
- Tokens are not summed across a company's models — only the single highest-total model determines the outcome.