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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?
Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?

Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?

AI6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
OpenAI
OpenAI 2.2%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

38

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Dec 24, 24, 2:56 AMDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Meta
Meta
0.1%
xAI
xAI
0.1%
Google
Google
0.2%
Other
Other
0.1%

Selected outcome

OpenAI2%

Rules

This question resolves to to whichever company first reaches score on the FrontierMath benchmark above or equal to 85.0% for fully-automated computer method.

Manifold Markets

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Rules

This question resolves to to whichever company first reaches score on the FrontierMath benchmark above or equal to 85.0% for fully-automated computer method.

Manifold Markets