Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast2025 3.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJul 31, 25, 2:44 AMJan 1, 28, 3:43 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
20253%
Volume trend
$150Jul 168d of dataJul 23
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.