Current community forecast
Before 2026-08-01 100%+0.3ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
111
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 13, 25, 11:42 PMJul 25, 26, 7:42 AM
Probability Timeline
Before 2026-02-010%
Before 2026-03-010%
Before 2026-04-010%
Before 2026-05-011%
Before 2026-06-010%
Before 2026-07-010.9%
Before 2026-05-161%
Before 2026-06-161%
Before 2026-08-01100%
Before 2026-09-01100%
Before 2026-10-01100%
Before 2026-11-01100%
Before 2026-07-160%
Before 2026-08-16100%
Before 2026-08-08100%
Before 2026-07-2456.8%
Before 2026-07-211%
Before 2026-07-197.5%
Before 2026-07-183.8%
Before 2026-07-2068.6%
Before 2026-07-221%
Before 2026-07-231%
Before 2026-07-25100%
Before 2026-07-26100%
Before 2026-07-27100%
Before 2026-07-28100%
Before 2026-07-29100%
Before 2026-07-30100%
Before 2026-07-31100%
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This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Before 2026-08-01
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $57.2K | $0 | yesterday | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | yesterday |
Also available on Polymarket
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
19.0 ptsClosed
+8.9pt100%
+1.8pt100%
+19.0pt100%
+12 more outcomes
46 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$887.2K
24h Vol$57.2K
POLYMARKETRules
The dates of the last few flights are:
- Flight 7: 2025-01-16
- Flight 8: 2025-03-06
- Flight 9: 2025-05-27
- Flight 10: 2025-08-26
- Flight 11: 2025-10-13
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$5.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — YesTaut-Witness-Scraper2d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — YesTaut-Witness-Scraper2d ago$2.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviato2d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviato2d ago$5.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviato2d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviato2d ago$1.4k99.9%POLYMARKETWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? — Yes1walrus3d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? — Yes1walrus3d ago$7.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — Yes1walrus3d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — Yes1walrus3d ago$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — YesAgricultureSecretary3d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — YesAgricultureSecretary3d ago$1.4k85.4%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? — YesHakei.10d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? — YesHakei.10d ago$8.9k98.8%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? — Yesnoreasapa11d ago
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? — Yesnoreasapa11d agoVolume trend
$62.5kJul 818d of dataJul 25
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The dates of the last few flights are:
- Flight 7: 2025-01-16
- Flight 8: 2025-03-06
- Flight 9: 2025-05-27
- Flight 10: 2025-08-26
- Flight 11: 2025-10-13