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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date
Manifold Markets

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

AIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsClosedNo KYC

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, 11:22 PM

Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Before August 2025 0%
Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters

336

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Jul 25, 25, 6:37 PMJun 9, 26, 11:22 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Before August 2025
0%
Manifold Markets
Before September 2025
0%
Manifold Markets
Before October 2025
0%
Manifold Markets
Before November 2025
0%
Manifold Markets
Before December 2025
0%
Manifold Markets
Before January 2026
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

Minor changes to the name, such as 'Claude 5 Sonnet' or 'Claude 5 Opus', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude 5, will count for the purpose of this market.

Manifold Markets
  • The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
  • Open, non-selective waitlists count.
  • Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
  • Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
  • @NU2IyqRq0u (this market)

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Active in these topics

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Related News

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Rules

Minor changes to the name, such as 'Claude 5 Sonnet' or 'Claude 5 Opus', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude 5, will count for the purpose of this market.

Manifold Markets
  • The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
  • Open, non-selective waitlists count.
  • Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
  • Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
  • @NU2IyqRq0u (this market)