What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027?
ETFOne-Off10moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastVB 1Y return is HIGHER than VOO return 50.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 26, 1:05 AM UTCAug 1, 27, 4:01 AM UTC
Trends
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LimitlessRules
More than one answer can resolve yes.
- I may add more options later.
- 1Y refers to the market return between August 1st, 2026 and August 1st, 2027.
- 2 decimal places will be used.
- Resolution will be based on googling both "VB" and "VOO", scaling the chart to "1Y", and recording the number shown before market open on August 1st, 2027.
- Example below.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices VB 1Y return is HIGHER than VOO return at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027? resolve?
- What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2027.
- How is What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: More than one answer can resolve yes.
