Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Gpt (63.4%)
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, 2:03 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastGpt 63.4%
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+13.4 pts
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleAug 2, 26, 8:02 PMAug 7, 26, 8:15 AM
Trends
63.4%
36.6%
Rules
Paybox vot connect
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on which AI assistant platform I successfully connect to MoonPay's PayBox to claim a USDC airdrop reward.
- GPT (ChatGPT): Resolves YES if I successfully connect ChatGPT to PayBox, link my X account, and claim a USDC reward via this setup.
- Claude: Resolves YES if I successfully connect Claude to PayBox, link my X account, and claim a USDC reward via this setup.
- Neither / None of the above: Resolves YES if I do not successfully claim a reward using either platform (e.g., if the faucet does not reopen, if I am ineligible, or if I fail to complete the connection process on either app).
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+74.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?
- ↑ 77,500+77.6pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+77.7pt100%
- ↑ 72,500+88.0pt100%
+34 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
- ↑ 70,000+29.4pt100%
+41 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?
- ↑ 2,400+49.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,300+96.9pt100%
- ↑ 2,200+92.5pt100%
+32 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will XRP hit in August?
- ↑ 1.40+93.3pt100%
- ↑ 1.20+97.0pt100%
- ↓ 1.00+24.4pt100%
+19 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.3pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- ETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
- How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?
- BTC price on August 21
- How high will ETH get in August?
- What price will Solana hit in August?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Vot Paybox claime reward moonpay connect?
- Manifold Markets prices Gpt at 63% as of August 8, 2026.
- When does Vot Paybox claime reward moonpay connect resolve?
- Vot Paybox claime reward moonpay connect is scheduled to resolve on August 7, 2026.
- How is Vot Paybox claime reward moonpay connect settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Paybox vot connect