US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?
TechOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 23, 6:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This resolves YES if the National Labor Relations Board (or any successor organization) recognizes a union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by the end of 2026 that either:
- Primarily is a union of software engineers
- OR contains a majority of the software engineers employed at the company's headquarters
- OR contains a majority of the American software engineers employed by that company.
- If any of the mentioned companies merges with or is acquired by another company, the resulting combined company counts for the purposes of this market.
- If any of these companies divests a substantial portion of the company (>10% of employees), then the divested company also counts for purposes of this market.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026? resolve?
- US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This resolves YES if the National Labor Relations Board (or any successor organization) recognizes a union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by the end of 2026 that either: