UK Autumn Budget 2026: will 0% VAT on home electricity be extended past March 2027?
One-OffRegulation15dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The zero rate is reported to run from 1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027.
- YES if the Budget extends it beyond 31 March 2027 or makes it permanent.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
