Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSame-gender romantic relationships are possible (incl. if gender is removed and does not impact relationships) 100%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 6, 25, 5:13 PM UTCJun 1, 27, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
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0%
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Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRules
If you elaborate in the comments on what an answer means, please note to look at the comments in the answer text.
- Close date is provisional, options resolve as they are known.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream prop bets [Add Answers!]?
- Manifold Markets prices Same-gender romantic relationships are possible (incl. if gender is removed and does not impact relationships) at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream prop bets [Add Answers!] resolve?
- Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream prop bets [Add Answers!] is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2027.
- How is Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream prop bets [Add Answers!] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If you elaborate in the comments on what an answer means, please note to look at the comments in the answer text.