Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 2:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleAug 5, 26, 9:43 PMAug 14, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Rules
Resolves YES if the closing price of the S&P 500 index is strictly greater than 7,800 USD on August 14, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 15, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week? resolve?
- S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the closing price of the S&P 500 index is strictly greater than 7,800 USD on August 14, 2026.
