Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026?

Manifold Markets prices No at 91.5% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026 resolve?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026 is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.

How is Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes, if, before November 2026, an attack on quantum or conventional computer of the signature scheme FALCON (1) is published (preprint, journal article or conference proceeding), that leads to NIST dropping the algorithm from its post-quantum standard, or discouraging its use; or alternatively, if multiple recognized/leading cryptographers recommend against its use.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↑ 82,500-5.0pt57%
• ↓ 77,500+5.0pt44%
• ↑ 85,00025%

+36 more outcomes

Total Vol

$11M

24h Vol

$775.5K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,000 or above99.5%
• $78,500 or above99%
• $78,250 or above99%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 10am EDT?

• $80,100 or above99.5%
• $79,900 or above99.5%
• $79,700 or above99.5%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?

• 72,000100%
• 74,000+0.1pt100%
• 76,000+0.3pt100%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

• ↓ 80,00066%
• ↑ 82,000-6.5pt14%
• ↓ 78,000-2.6pt5%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,000-2.5pt47%
• ↓ 70,000+4.0pt40%
• ↑ 95,000-1.0pt28%

+43 more outcomes

• What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?
• BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
• Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
• Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
• What price will Ethereum hit in October?
• Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
• Ethereum above ___ on October 25?
• What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?
• What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?