Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026?

Manifold Markets prices No at 91.8% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026 resolve?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026 is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.

How is Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes, if, before November 2026, an attack on quantum or conventional computer of the signature scheme SPHINCS+ (1) is published (preprint, journal article or conference proceeding), that leads to NIST dropping the algorithm from its post-quantum standard, or discouraging its use; or alternatively, if multiple recognized/leading cryptographers recommend against its use.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↑ 82,500-12.5pt61%
• ↓ 77,500+12.0pt45%
• ↑ 85,000-9.0pt27%

+36 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.7M

24h Vol

$702.5K

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

• ↓ 80,00070%
• ↑ 82,000-37.0pt25%
• ↓ 78,000+4.3pt9%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,000-6.0pt47%
• ↓ 70,000+7.0pt42%
• ↑ 95,000-5.0pt28%

+43 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?

• ↑ 82,0003%
• ↓ 79,0003%
• ↑ 83,0001%

+13 more outcomes

Total Vol

$340.8K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $73,000 or above96.5%
• $69,000 or above98.5%
• $72,500 or above97.5%

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

• No98%
• Yes-2.0pt2%

Total Vol

$13M

24h Vol

$266K

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