Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast@TheAllMemeingEye 42.9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 26, 3:24 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:20 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be another GWWC donor lottery with a draw date before the end of February 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich charities will be recommended by Animal Charity Evaluators at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRules
This will resolve to the user who sent the highest total of donations through @wasabipesto 's donation program by the time their market about the program's total closes:
- https://manifold.markets/wasabipesto/how-much-will-i-donate-to-charity-a?r=QWxleGFuZGVyVGhlR3JlYXRlcg
- If Wasabipesto's market gets extended, so does this market.
- Resolution will be based on information shared by Wasabipesto on their market.
- I highly encourage anyone to add themselves as an option and donate through Wasabipesto to drive their odds up!
- Update 2026-01-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is proposing to count all donations posted and verified on the linked market, regardless of which user facilitated the donation (not just donations made directly through Wasabipesto).
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.8K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $10.2K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
- $600
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.5K
- 24h Vol
- $487.1
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program?
- Manifold Markets prices @TheAllMemeingEye at 43% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program resolve?
- Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve to the user who sent the highest total of donations through @wasabipesto 's donation program by the time their market about the program's total closes: