Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 6:21 AM UTCNov 20, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
A Convince the Machine market.
- I currently think a hot dog is NOT a sandwich.
- Make your case in the comments.
- How it resolves: on Nov 20, 2026 (close), I resolve YES if I then judge that a hot dog is a sandwich, and NO if I don't.
- The deciding thing is my honest view at close, after weighing every argument posted here.
- Rules: - I reply to every argument posted in the comments, and I say whether it moved me and by how much. - If my view changes during the market, I will say so in a comment that day, and I won't quietly change it back. - I will not bet on this market. - Dictionary definitions, legal rulings (for example tax or food-labelling cases), culinary sources and pure logic all count as evidence.
