Current community forecast
Yes 67.5%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 23, 11:21 PM UTCMay 22, 99, 6:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
In the chess engine world, there has been a lot of discussion about whether the Grob opening is a forced loss for white.
- It seems like there's somewhat of a conensus that it is a win for black, but it's nowhere near proven with Stockfish around -1.2 for the position.
- The resource that I always look at to see how the Grob opening is evaluated is https://chessdb.cn/queryc_en/ where it has been searched for ages.
- Someone's even made a page which graphs what the evaluation has been over time on chessdb after the move 1.g4.
- Resolves YES if after 1. g4, Black is able to force a win assuming optimal play.
- Resolves NO if white can force a draw or win.