If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 93.3% as of October 25, 2026.

When does If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down? resolve?

If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A few people have talked about instituting a way to exchange mana for real money, such as here:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,000 or above99.5%
• $77,000 or above99.5%
• $76,000 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 77,500+5.0pt49%
• ↑ 82,500-12.5pt46%
• ↓ 75,000+1.0pt19%

+37 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

• $79,100 or above99.5%
• $79,600 or above97.5%
• $79,500 or above98.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above99%
• $71,000 or above98%
• $72,000 or above-1.0pt98%

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt15.4%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.1pt15.4%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+0.2pt

KALSHI

Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

• No98%
• Yes2%

Total Vol

$13.4M

24h Vol

$191.8K

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